Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Miami Heat57.324.7.6981.07-0.0318.075-152-2470-1241-41100.0%95.8%80.013.54.01.40.60.30.20.10.20.147.3%37.6%
2Chicago Bulls50.731.3.618-0.230.518.496-145-3065-1733-4996.4%88.9%10.133.020.413.08.45.63.42.53.82.51.70.813.7%8.4%
3Philadelphia 76ers47.634.4.580-2.130.836.445-243-3262-2028-5486.9%30.8%2.512.715.114.813.812.18.97.09.57.15.23.68.3%4.8%
4New York Knicks46.935.1.5720.520.565.385-242-3363-1931-5182.6%25.9%2.210.413.613.313.911.79.48.110.28.37.04.46.5%3.7%
5Toronto Raptors47.035.0.5741.250.725.885-342-3264-1832-5084.9%29.0%2.011.014.414.313.011.910.57.910.48.46.04.28.2%4.6%
6Charlotte Hornets46.036.0.5601.920.484.425-341-3362-2030-5277.6%2.1%1.16.410.912.313.013.011.39.511.810.28.15.64.5%2.5%
7Washington Wizards45.536.5.5551.110.493.685-241-3461-2130-5274.0%2.0%1.05.98.711.112.212.811.910.412.411.08.96.94.0%2.1%
8Brooklyn Nets45.037.0.5494.130.254.134-341-3460-2230-5270.0%14.1%0.75.07.410.111.111.912.411.312.611.310.28.23.9%1.9%
9Indiana Pacers42.040.0.5125.050.043.052-640-3457-2525-5742.7%6.5%0.21.02.64.15.26.710.412.69.312.113.713.92.0%1.0%
10Atlanta Hawks40.941.1.498-0.981.090.314-337-3859-2325-5731.6%0.2%0.10.51.42.63.75.57.810.17.310.012.614.10.6%0.3%
11Milwaukee Bucks40.341.7.4913.870.470.303-437-3860-2224-5828.8%3.2%0.41.22.03.54.87.39.66.98.811.714.10.7%0.3%
12Cleveland Cavaliers38.543.5.470-0.621.03-1.754-435-3953-2923-5915.7%1.3%0.20.30.91.32.44.26.43.76.18.211.60.3%0.1%
13Boston Celtics36.245.8.4412.910.68-2.952-534-4154-2816-665.9%0.1%0.10.10.40.81.52.91.32.84.17.30.1%
14Orlando Magic34.048.0.4153.260.91-4.372-632-4251-3119-632.2%0.10.20.61.30.50.91.83.6
15Detroit Pistons32.349.7.3943.910.91-7.091-531-4549-3318-640.8%0.1%0.10.10.20.50.20.40.81.8

Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Utah Jazz52.429.6.639-3.08-1.509.765-147-2968-1437-45100.0%90.7%82.311.43.81.50.60.30.10.10.145.4%20.0%
2Golden State Warriors44.637.4.544-6.39-0.561.455-140-3662-2030-5293.8%69.9%7.128.420.513.69.56.45.03.45.33.42.41.512.5%3.4%
3Denver Nuggets43.138.9.526-1.72-0.890.854-339-3660-2224-5888.4%4.8%3.616.917.615.512.69.77.25.37.25.74.32.910.1%2.5%
4Portland Trail Blazers42.339.7.516-0.95-1.150.913-439-3658-2427-5584.4%4.0%2.913.814.814.113.010.78.46.78.16.95.14.49.7%2.5%
5Memphis Grizzlies41.740.3.5091.75-1.30-1.104-338-3758-2425-5780.4%56.2%2.012.514.313.312.010.49.07.09.17.65.94.76.8%1.5%
6San Antonio Spurs38.943.1.474-1.50-1.12-1.932-537-3854-2825-5758.1%24.4%0.53.76.17.68.710.111.010.510.010.99.89.23.8%0.7%
7Sacramento Kings38.743.3.472-1.06-0.99-3.893-336-4057-2523-5955.7%10.3%0.53.25.47.28.710.510.010.39.710.810.89.82.6%0.5%
8Los Angeles Lakers37.944.1.462-4.88-0.68-4.314-334-4154-2823-5946.9%7.3%0.32.23.85.87.38.39.110.19.310.210.611.11.8%0.4%
9Minnesota Timberwolves37.844.2.461-4.22-0.51-4.063-335-4153-2921-6147.1%0.5%0.32.03.75.47.48.49.110.810.19.410.810.72.0%0.4%
10Los Angeles Clippers38.143.9.465-2.11-0.83-2.942-436-4054-2824-5850.3%8.6%0.22.64.36.37.48.910.210.39.910.211.110.42.7%0.5%
11Dallas Mavericks37.444.6.456-1.66-0.78-6.324-233-4354-2823-5942.0%14.9%0.21.93.35.16.18.08.29.28.99.210.310.91.0%0.2%
12Phoenix Suns36.145.9.440-1.64-0.76-6.642-334-4353-2921-6131.7%3.9%0.11.11.63.04.35.27.19.37.18.39.711.61.0%0.2%
13New Orleans Pelicans34.247.8.4171.23-1.00-5.481-633-4252-3020-6218.3%4.2%0.30.71.52.32.84.75.84.26.07.19.20.7%0.1%
14Houston Rockets29.952.1.364-3.49-0.44-11.151-529-4746-3615-672.6%0.4%0.10.10.40.81.10.81.01.62.9
15Oklahoma City Thunder26.955.1.3280.10-0.59-13.051-626-4942-4013-690.5%0.10.10.30.20.20.50.7